I guess I need to expand on my post from yesterday to illustrate better what my point was.
I want to put up, right from the start that I am not saying this bug is a nothing burger. I am saying that the reactions we are seeing are irresponsible and dangerous to an already unstable situation in the world. Said reactions are being fueled by fear mongering and potentially an ulterior motive yet to be resolved from present evidence. (I have suspicions, but don’t want to wander into tin-foil hat territory just yet.)
So, back to the math for a few.
- World population 7,733,000,000 apx. With an annual 1.05% growth rate.
- Daily death rate on average, world wide: 180,000 (DDR for the rest of this essay)
- Total death rate for CoVid-19 as of 4/10/2020: 97,039
Taking into account that this bug has been ‘rampaging’ since November, I will use the beginning of that month for my start date. Since inception, we are looking at 162 days. Knowing that some countries are no longer tracking this bug or reporting it to WHO, I am going to double the number to appease those that are in full ZOMG! status. Using the average daily death rate of the world for this, and the modified death rate of the bug, there is a 1198/180000 ratio daily. Listed as CoVid19/DDRof world, Rounding things off, this is 1/150. (recall, this is using the doubled rate. Actual numbers are just one in three hundred.) (This doesn’t account for the death by bug vs entire population of world that I addressed yesterday. I think that was where the breakdown in communication was.)
Wheres that 3.5% dying thing that some Media outlets were screaming about? Is it that we just haven’t hit the peak yet? Is it that we have ‘flattened the curve’ as designed? Think about it. One hundred fiftieth is a five hundred times better than three percent. No model covers what is being shown, not the flattening of the curve thing, not the projected growth models. None of them show this. WHY????
Because this is not the bug they thought it was. Whatever was released in China has or is evolving into a more benign version of itself. This happens in all virus’ because to be terminal in all stages means no more hosts! Its Darwinism at its finest.
There are some on the nets that say I am being unreasonable by saying that this thing is not as bad as proposed. That my viewpoint is ‘extreme’. I say they are being unreasonable as they aren’t looking at the bigger picture and taking into account the only point that is a non-variable. WE ALL DIE. Yeah, it sucks, it can be sad, and it is never convenient. But at some point we all visit that point. Its called LIFE!!!! You are born, you live, you die: end of story. The numbers we are seeing, DO NOT ADD UP TO JUSTIFY THE REACTIONS DISPLAYED!!!! In my opinion, the reactions are the EXTREME here. For all intents and purposes, this an openly aggressive power grab, robbing us of further liberties and freedoms. They will never relinquish what they have taken away, and only grudgingly allow us some back, until the next round of ‘whatever’ comes down the pike. And the majority of the people HAPPILY rolled over for it, and the rest either consented with minimal fuss, or some, such as myself, are trying to wake up the rest to what is really going on. As an individual, I can’t fight this with any weapons other than the one I am using. Words!
I have an advantage/handicap; depending on your outlook, by being sequestered in a quite rural area with a scattered population bearing no comparison to those metropolitan areas that are being hammered by this bug (hammered if you account for Media Bias, individual reporting underscores this as falsified information) I am also something of a hermit, there is a very small slice of society that I deal with on a regular basis. With that in mind, I have a bias against the mass insanity (as I see it) that is afflicting the nation. I also have the bias of an upbringing where when a child was diagnosed with chicken pox, all the mothers in the neighborhood would have a party to get all the kids together to get them all ‘infected’ so they could all get the shit out of the way and move on with life. This being an example of HERD IMMUNITY that we should be embracing right now, not this “hide under a rock and hope it goes away” attitude. There are those that would be far more susceptible to this bug, and they should sequester themselves for their own protection, but to have the entire society turn turtle is STUPID! The numbers just do not add up to that scenario. The effects of this will be far reaching, farther than the bug itself, and will, WILL have negative effects on those this bug would not have bothered in the least otherwise. Just the passing of the CARES act, which effectively doubled the national debt overnight with the stroke of a pen, has created long lasting effects that will continue into the next two generations not even born yet 1.
All to take care of a virus blown out of proportion by a fear mongering media system.
I am not asking for people to commit suicide by getting this bug and spreading it around. I am asking that people use the gray matter between their ears and THINK before jumping on the bandwagon of public opinion when that public opinion is the raft headed over the falls.
On a lighter note:
“OMG! How are we supposed to plan for this?” The same way you plan for anything. There’s always an Arquillian Battle Cruiser, or a Corillian Death Ray, or an intergalactic plague that is about to wipe out all life on this miserable little planet. What was the other lesson in that other movie? DON’T PANIC.
1this statement made assuming that our currency doesn’t implode in the meantime. Not an assumption I think is solid. I sincerely believe that some group is TRYING to implode the system for reasons yet seen.
I keep looking around, watching the world charts of what this bug is doing (if accurate, could go either way on that note) and watching what Government is doing here locally nationally etc. Still ain’t buying it. Something isn’t ringing true. Numbers aren’t adding up, reactions are grossly out of caliber for the end result to be justified.
Its not the disease thats scaring me, its the inintended consequences of government spasms in the name of “public safety”. Financially the economies are tanking. At current trend, and with the Fed poised to start buying up everything to keep the velocity of money up, we are looking at the next Weimar republic scene, only this time it will cover multiple continents. When the economies explode in hyperinflation, JIT delivery systems go tits up (if not sooner if the gov locks down every major city and restricts travel liberties) JIT goes tits up, and people are next in line, after they shred the remnants of whats on the shelves of every mom n pop store and walmart.
And all for what, some smoke n mirrors show of force? Like another blogger has stated. Let them have this much leeway for this disease, what’s to stop them for the next one, or the one after that, or putting the entire country into lockdown because of “whatever” being construed BY THEM as a public safety concern.
Coldfury excerpts CS Lewis in this post and I must agree with the premise. None of us, NONE escape death. We are born dying, surrounded by so many different death options from day one. This ‘new bug’ is just another in a long list of many, that MAY take you over to the next plane of existence. Suck it up because the odds are actually in your favor that it WON’T!!!! And lets face it; while dying scares purt much everybody, we all have to face it eventually. Yeah it sucks, isn’t pretty, usually painful, but it just IS. If its you, it truly sucks, if its someone close to you, it still sucks and should be counted as a trial run for when its your turn. And if its not someone you know, or are close to, breath a sigh of relief and get back to keeping on: you dodged the bullet this time, but there are more where that one came from and eventually,,,
But, for whatever reason, which completely escapes me unless my suspicions are correct, our
fearless Leaders that wanna Be, think they are protecting us.
The only ‘upside’ that I see right now? People are all becoming preppers. Recent trip to grocery showed a serious dent in stock of flour, beans, dry noodles, and other long term storage stuff that can make pretty much anything. The entire aisle of vegetable oils was bare, gone. Like I said to boss, if you have vegetable oil, flour and some salt and pepper, you can cook rat and make it taste like chicken. (Side note, there was toilet paper still on the shelf, just not much, LOL)
I’ve said it to several people in meatspace, in texts, even across VoIP; what I am seeing is, IMO, a cover for collapsing the economy so that defaults on obligations can take place without instigating retribution from creditors. It doesnt matter “who” created and released the bug, all the big players are responding in kind with similar actions and all of them are using it to scare the shit out of their own people.
And if I’m wrong? So what. If I’m right, so what. I’m just one little fish in a great big sea of fish. The bubbles I’m making, float away just like everybody elses.
It all comes down to being sick n tired of all the hype n negativity being amplified over the good in life. If you only live with venom and sewage, you see nothing else. Get out and try to see something good for once. Do it before they make it so you need permission or a badge, or whatever option the currently evolving police state we reside in comes up with. Cowering away in fear is pointless and pathetic.
LOL, one of Bowies all time best.
But face it, changes are really all we know now. Things have accelerated into the ‘blink and you’ll miss it’ stage years back, and the throttle is still wide open.
Even here, the changes keep coming; maybe at a slower pace, but happening even as you read this.
Y’all know I am never without a book in my possession, constantly “edumicatin’ ” myself, knowing I will never ‘know it all’ but never settling for ‘good enough ‘. Heck, just the recent project of” writing a how to manual “taught me, and reinforced some areas, and corrected fallacies in others. Its always a good thing when you can improve yourself and situation and the book did that before I ever hit the publish button. Maybe it will continue to do so afterwards.
One of the books I am reading right now is “life after Google” by George Gilder. George is something of a prophet in the tech worlds and when he speaks, many listen. You can find out more about him by reading the wiki about him. But his book, its gotmetathinkin’.
We live in fast times. Fast communication being the foundation to , almost the driving force behind it. Examples: nano second micro trades on wallstreet: where they are trading for percentages of growth several hundred times a second. Not at all possible without lightening quick comms. My writing and publishing a book with worldwide distribution in less then 3 weeks: not possible 20-30 years ago.
And if you think I’m harping against it, bear with me. Change is never comfortable, but change is all we know now.
Keep in mind what I am reading for a few as I change lanes. I’ll bring it all together at the rest stop.
For the past 12 years since just before Oblammy-o-boy lied on a bible, after the Fed started “QE to infinity and beyond”, people, myself included, have been going on and on and on about “that which can’t continue, won’t ” and yet, we see more and more propping up and the house of cards still stands. We see signs of unrest everywhere, especially in Europe, but even here in the States to a lesser degree, and it all stems from one point, out of control governments grasping at straws to maintain power.
Georges book talks about how certain powers are the dinosaur wrestling with the black tar of the pits. He even shows why they are in trouble and unsustainable.
They can’t evolve anymore; they are stuck in the paradigm they wrote for themselves and can’t see the trap under the dust covered surface of the tar.
I’m hearing more and more, 2020-2022 as the window when the hockey stick ‘growth’ of the markets hits correction (in a freefall manner from all descriptions)
Before you start to scoff look here for a second.
See that little ‘bump’ between 1920 and 1940? THAT was before the “Great Depression” . Contemplate the depth of that time for a moment. Consider the size of the bubble; then and now.
What happened? Why that upward curve to the moon? Two things: loss of a gold standard for one, which created the fiat currency we all take for granted. That opened the sluice gate. The other reason was government, out of control and losing all restraint as time went by.
So what does this have to do with ‘life after google’? Well, if George is right, and I see signs from other sources that he has the right heading programmed in, blockchain and cryptocurrency is the next step in our evolution. Blockchain is the area where you are going to want to start your learning curve because it will be the foundation of all that follows, like our high speed communications and endless information flows. I have reason to believe that when the house falls and the dust is settling, every major government is going to be tying its physical currencies to one of the several cryptocurrencies floating around out there. That will be the only way they will be able to hold the reins of power. If that happens, its only a short stop to when megaplexcorporations start to tumble. TBtF banks will be hard hit if not swallowed whole during the transition. Why?
Because blockchain puts all the control back into the hands of the holder. The holders will be everyone that uses them, IE every single one of us.
On my other page about PGP, you are introduced to crypto, that public key/private key is where blockchain starts. Your public key will hold a chain to everything about you and only YOU can decrypt that. (Heed the warnings I post on that page, they become even more important as this grows) ( a similar tech, but not the same application. Stay tuned for more) (I am even seeing efforts to make blockchain for voting and it even was used in a couple of states recently. This is not a gimmick, its very very real.)
Where does that put little guys like you and I? Heading upwards if you keep your wits about you. There will be so many changes coming so fast, no one can say where it will all go. What we have seen so far is going to look like a snail and slug race when this ball lets loose.
I know it seems out of line with my blog in general, but look at it as a prep. Information is king of the world right now, who controls that info is in essence king as well, that is currently Google. When this thing breaks loose, google is going to get knocked flat. Be ready because then the ball is in the air and